New Poll: Why Raila has a clear lead of 53%, Ruto 40%

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Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Coalition presidential flag bearer Raila Odinga has a clear lead of 53.3 percent while his counterpart, the Kenya Kwanza coalition principal William Ruto’s popularity rose to 40 percent five days to the general election.

Conducted between 13th and 29th July, the latest Statistic Kenya poll released on Thursday morning covers a variety of vital public issues on national political representation and gives a number of factors behind Mr. Odinga’s comfortable lead, among them the failure of William Ruto to effectively defend his manifesto at the presidential debate.

”Those polled stated that the Presidential debate exposed Kenya Kwanza’s presidential candidate’s character. His inability to fully defend his manifesto and keep up with the allegations probed led to loss of confidence with some of his supporters,” the survey reads in part.

The poll sample base of 4,000 representing 25.7 million Kenyan adults with a 96 percent response rate and a confidence level of 95 percent, showed Kenya’s political landscape has significantly changed plus new dynamics have taken shape, with almost a third of voters polled saying the state of the economy and corruption are the most important issues in their vote for president.

Read: Odinga widens lead in latest poll with a 51% approval rating

”While Raila continued to rise in the recent poll, those polled further stated that Ruto’s recent anger outbursts during his campaigns has made many of the undecided voters question his credibility…Those above the age of 45 years stated that the ruling by the judiciary to seize Rigathi Gachagua’s 200 million shillings further complicated issues for Ruto’s race as this painted Kenya Kwanza coalition as the corruption tolerant camp,” the Statistics Kenya poll continues.

The survey conducted via Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI) amongst a sample of persons above 18 years across the 47 counties shows Azimio dominates Nyanza, Lower Eastern, Nairobi, Western, and the Coast regions, and in particular, 30 counties.

DP Ruto’s Kenya Kwanza shows its strongest following in parts of the Rift Valley and Central Kenya.

This is the fourth poll from Monday that has put Raila Odinga and Azimio-One Kenya coalition ahead. Others are IPSOS (47%), Nation Media Group (49%), TIFA (47%), and Infotrak (49%).

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